Araştırma Makalesi
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ELEKTRİK ENERJİSİ TÜKETİMİ VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİ: AVRUPA BİRLİĞİ ÜLKELERİ VE TÜRKİYE İÇİN BİR ANALİZ

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 15, 88 - 111, 13.12.2019

Nigar Alev Muhyettin Erdemli

Öz

Birliği ülkeleri ile Türkiye’de ekonomik büyüme ve elektrik enerjisi
tüketimi arasındaki ilişki, 1996-2014 dönemine ait yıllık veriler kullanılarak
araştırılmıştır. Panel dinamiklerinde heterojenliği ve kesitsel bağımlılığı
dikkate alan bir çerçevede eşbütünleşme ve nedensellik testleri ile analiz
gerçekleştirilmiştir. Panel eşbütünleşme testi ile elektrik tüketimi ve
ekonomik büyüme arasında uzun dönemli anlamlı bir ilişkinin varlığı ortaya
konulmuştur. Parametre tahmininin yapılmasına imkân sağlayan DOLSMG
tahmincisinden ede edilen sonuçlar, panel genelinde elektrik tüketiminin
ekonomik büyümeye pozitif katkı sağladığını göstermiştir. Ayrıca sonuçlar bu
ülkelerde, elektrik tüketimi ve
ekonomik büyüme arasında iki yönlü nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğunu ortaya 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Elektrik Tüketimi Ekonomik Büyüme

Kaynakça

  • Apergis, N. & Payne, J.E. (2011). A Dynamic Panel Study of Economic Development and The Electricityconsumption-Growth Nexus, Energy Economics 33, 770-781.
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. Third Edition, John Wiley&Sons Inc, England.
  • Baltagi, B., Feng, Q. & Kao, C. (2012). A Lagrange Multipier Test for Cross-Sectional Depedence in a Fixed Effects Panel Data Model. Syracuse University, Center for Policy Research.
  • Bildirici, M.E. & Kayıkçı, F. (2012). Economic Growth and Electricity Consumption in Former Soviet Republics. Energy Economics, Volume 34, 747-753.
  • Bozoklu, Ş. & Yılancı, V. (2013). Finansal Gelişme ve İktisadi Büyüme Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi: Gelişmekte Olan Ekonomiler İçin Analiz. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 28 (2): 161-187.
  • Breusch, T. S. & Pagan, A.R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. The Review of Ecoomic Studies, Vol. 47, No. 1, Econometrics Issue, 239-253.
  • Dumitrescu, E.I. & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger Non-Causalityin Heterogeneous Panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450-1460.
  • Ertuğrul, H.M. (2011). Türkiye’de Elektrik Tüketimi Büyüme İlişkisi: Dinamik Analiz. Enerji, Piyasa ve Düzenleme, Cilt 2, 49-73.
  • Gengenbach, C., Urbain, J-P. & Westerlund, J. (2016). Error Correction Testing in Panels with Common Stochastic Trends. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31 (6): 982-1004.
  • Ghosh, S. (2002). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in India. Energy Policy, volum 30, Issue 2, 125-129.
  • Ghosh, S. (2009). Electricity Supply, Employment and Real GDP in India: Evidence from Cointegration and Granger-Causality tests. Energy Policy, Volume 37, Issue 8, 2926-2929.
  • Hamdi, H., Sbia, R. & Shahbaz, M. (2014). The Nexus between Electricitiy Consumption and Economic Growth in Bhrain. Economic Modelling, Volume 38, 227-237.
  • Hirsh, R.F. & Koomey, J.G. (2015). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: A New Relationship with Significant Consequences? The Electricity Journal, Volume 28, Issue 9, 72-84.
  • Hsiao, C., (2003). Analysis of Panel Data. Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom.
  • Hu, J.I. & Lin, C.H. (2008). Disaggregated Energy Consumption and GDP in Taiwan: A Threshold Co-Integration Analysis. Energy Economics, Volume 30, 2342-2358.
  • Iyke, B.N. (2015). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Revisit of The Energy-Growth Debate. Energy Economics, Volume 51, 166-176.
  • Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis Of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12 (2-3): 231-254.
  • Kao, C. (1999). Spurious Regression and Residual-Based Tests for Cointegration In Panel Data. Journal of Econometrics, 90 (1): 1-44.
  • Karagöl, G. & Altınay, E. (2005). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from Turkey, Energy Economics, Volume 27, Issue 6, 849-856.
  • Karanfil, F. & Li, Y. (2015). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Expliring Panel-Specific Differences. Energy Policy, 82, 264-277.
  • Nişancı, M. (2005). Türkiye’de Elektrik Enerjisi Talebi ve Elektrik Tüketimi ile Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişki. Sosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, cilt 5, sayı 9, 107-121.
  • Odhiambo, N.M. (2009), Electricitiy Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa: A trivariate causality test. Energy Economics, 31, 635-640.
  • Odhiambo, N.M. (2010). Energy Consumption, Prices and Economic Growth in Three SSA Countries: A Comparative Study. Energy Policy, 38, 2463-2469.
  • Osman, M. Gachino, G. & Hoque, A. (2016). Electricity consumption and Economic Growth in the GCC Countries: Panel Data Analysis. Energy Policy, Volume 98, 318-327.
  • Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel Cointegration: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests with An Application to PPP Hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 20: 597-625.
  • Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61: 644-670.
  • Pesaran, M.H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics No. 0435.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22 (2): 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M.H., Ullah, A. & Yamagata, T. (2008). A Bias-Adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-Section Independence. The Econometrics Journal, Volume 11, Issue 1, 105-127.
  • Polat, Ö., Uslu, E.E. & San, S. (2011). Türkiye’de Elektrik Tüketimi, İstihdam ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, C.16, S.1, 349-362.
  • Polemis, M.L. & Dagoumas, A. S. (2013). The Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Greece. Energy Policy, Volume 62, 798-808.Shiu, A. & Lam, P.L. (2004). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in China, Enegy Policy, 32, 47-54.
  • Tang, C.F., Shahbaz, M. & Arouri, M. (2013). Re-investigating the Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus in Portugal. Energy Policy, 62, 1515-1524.
  • Tatoğlu Yerdelen, F. (2017). Panel Zaman Serileri Analizi. Beta Basım Yayım Dağıtım A.Ş., İstanbul: 233-234.
  • Urbain, J. & Westerlund, J. (2006). Spurious regression in nonstationary panels with crossunit cointegration. METEOR Research Memorandum No. 057.
  • Westerlund, J. (2007). Testing for Error Correction in Panel Data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69 (6): 709-748.
  • Westerlund, J. & Edgerton, D. L. (2007). A Panel Bootstrap Cointegration Test. Economics Letters, 97 (3): 185-190.

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 15, 88 - 111, 13.12.2019

Nigar Alev Muhyettin Erdemli

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Apergis, N. & Payne, J.E. (2011). A Dynamic Panel Study of Economic Development and The Electricityconsumption-Growth Nexus, Energy Economics 33, 770-781.
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. Third Edition, John Wiley&Sons Inc, England.
  • Baltagi, B., Feng, Q. & Kao, C. (2012). A Lagrange Multipier Test for Cross-Sectional Depedence in a Fixed Effects Panel Data Model. Syracuse University, Center for Policy Research.
  • Bildirici, M.E. & Kayıkçı, F. (2012). Economic Growth and Electricity Consumption in Former Soviet Republics. Energy Economics, Volume 34, 747-753.
  • Bozoklu, Ş. & Yılancı, V. (2013). Finansal Gelişme ve İktisadi Büyüme Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi: Gelişmekte Olan Ekonomiler İçin Analiz. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 28 (2): 161-187.
  • Breusch, T. S. & Pagan, A.R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. The Review of Ecoomic Studies, Vol. 47, No. 1, Econometrics Issue, 239-253.
  • Dumitrescu, E.I. & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger Non-Causalityin Heterogeneous Panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450-1460.
  • Ertuğrul, H.M. (2011). Türkiye’de Elektrik Tüketimi Büyüme İlişkisi: Dinamik Analiz. Enerji, Piyasa ve Düzenleme, Cilt 2, 49-73.
  • Gengenbach, C., Urbain, J-P. & Westerlund, J. (2016). Error Correction Testing in Panels with Common Stochastic Trends. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31 (6): 982-1004.
  • Ghosh, S. (2002). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in India. Energy Policy, volum 30, Issue 2, 125-129.
  • Ghosh, S. (2009). Electricity Supply, Employment and Real GDP in India: Evidence from Cointegration and Granger-Causality tests. Energy Policy, Volume 37, Issue 8, 2926-2929.
  • Hamdi, H., Sbia, R. & Shahbaz, M. (2014). The Nexus between Electricitiy Consumption and Economic Growth in Bhrain. Economic Modelling, Volume 38, 227-237.
  • Hirsh, R.F. & Koomey, J.G. (2015). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: A New Relationship with Significant Consequences? The Electricity Journal, Volume 28, Issue 9, 72-84.
  • Hsiao, C., (2003). Analysis of Panel Data. Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom.
  • Hu, J.I. & Lin, C.H. (2008). Disaggregated Energy Consumption and GDP in Taiwan: A Threshold Co-Integration Analysis. Energy Economics, Volume 30, 2342-2358.
  • Iyke, B.N. (2015). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Revisit of The Energy-Growth Debate. Energy Economics, Volume 51, 166-176.
  • Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis Of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12 (2-3): 231-254.
  • Kao, C. (1999). Spurious Regression and Residual-Based Tests for Cointegration In Panel Data. Journal of Econometrics, 90 (1): 1-44.
  • Karagöl, G. & Altınay, E. (2005). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from Turkey, Energy Economics, Volume 27, Issue 6, 849-856.
  • Karanfil, F. & Li, Y. (2015). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Expliring Panel-Specific Differences. Energy Policy, 82, 264-277.
  • Nişancı, M. (2005). Türkiye’de Elektrik Enerjisi Talebi ve Elektrik Tüketimi ile Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişki. Sosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, cilt 5, sayı 9, 107-121.
  • Odhiambo, N.M. (2009), Electricitiy Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa: A trivariate causality test. Energy Economics, 31, 635-640.
  • Odhiambo, N.M. (2010). Energy Consumption, Prices and Economic Growth in Three SSA Countries: A Comparative Study. Energy Policy, 38, 2463-2469.
  • Osman, M. Gachino, G. & Hoque, A. (2016). Electricity consumption and Economic Growth in the GCC Countries: Panel Data Analysis. Energy Policy, Volume 98, 318-327.
  • Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel Cointegration: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests with An Application to PPP Hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 20: 597-625.
  • Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61: 644-670.
  • Pesaran, M.H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics No. 0435.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22 (2): 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M.H., Ullah, A. & Yamagata, T. (2008). A Bias-Adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-Section Independence. The Econometrics Journal, Volume 11, Issue 1, 105-127.
  • Polat, Ö., Uslu, E.E. & San, S. (2011). Türkiye’de Elektrik Tüketimi, İstihdam ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, C.16, S.1, 349-362.
  • Polemis, M.L. & Dagoumas, A. S. (2013). The Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Greece. Energy Policy, Volume 62, 798-808.Shiu, A. & Lam, P.L. (2004). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in China, Enegy Policy, 32, 47-54.
  • Tang, C.F., Shahbaz, M. & Arouri, M. (2013). Re-investigating the Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus in Portugal. Energy Policy, 62, 1515-1524.
  • Tatoğlu Yerdelen, F. (2017). Panel Zaman Serileri Analizi. Beta Basım Yayım Dağıtım A.Ş., İstanbul: 233-234.
  • Urbain, J. & Westerlund, J. (2006). Spurious regression in nonstationary panels with crossunit cointegration. METEOR Research Memorandum No. 057.
  • Westerlund, J. (2007). Testing for Error Correction in Panel Data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69 (6): 709-748.
  • Westerlund, J. & Edgerton, D. L. (2007). A Panel Bootstrap Cointegration Test. Economics Letters, 97 (3): 185-190.
Toplam 36 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makale
Yazarlar

Nigar Alev 0000-0002-0154-6211

Muhyettin Erdemli

Yayımlanma Tarihi 13 Aralık 2019
Gönderilme Tarihi 25 Eylül 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2019 Cilt: 6 Sayı: 15

Kaynak Göster

APA Alev, N., & Erdemli, M. (2019). ELEKTRİK ENERJİSİ TÜKETİMİ VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİ: AVRUPA BİRLİĞİ ÜLKELERİ VE TÜRKİYE İÇİN BİR ANALİZ. ASSAM Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi, 6(15), 88-111.
 Kapak Resmi İndir

 ASSAM-UHAD Nisan ve Kasım aylarında yayınlanan süreli ve elektronik basımı yapılan, uluslararası indeksli hakemli bir dergidir.