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The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 15 , 263 - 271, 31.03.2020

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Aslan, Alper. 2008. “An Econometric Analysis on Economic Growth and Tourism in Turkey.” Erciyes Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi (Erciyes University Journal), 24(1):1–11. http://www.acarindex.com/dosyalar/makale/acarindex-1423879707.pdf
  • Bahar, Ozan. 2006. “The Effect of Tourism Sector on the Economic Growth of Turkey: VAR Analysis Approach.” Journal of Management and Economics, 13(2):137-150. http://www.acarindex.com/dosyalar/makale/acarindex-1423939089.pdf
  • Balıkçıoğlu, Eda and Oktay, Kutay. 2015. “An Assessment of the Relationship between Tourism Revenues and Economic Growth in Turkey in accordance with the Public Policy.” Sosyoekonomi, 23 (25):113-125. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282054679_Turkiye'de_Turizm_Gelirleri_ve_Ekonomik_Buyume_Iliskisinin_Kamu_Politikalari_Dogrultusunda_Degerlendirilmesi
  • Çetintaş, Hakan and Bektaş, Çetin. 2008. “The Long and Short Term Relationships between Tourism and Economic Growth in Turkey.” Anatolia: Turizm Araştırmaları Dergisi, 19(1):37-44. https://anatoliajournal.com/atad/depo/dergiler/Cilt19_Sayi1_Yil2008_1304876834.pdf
  • Çil Yavuz, Nilgün. 2006. “Test for the Effect of Tourism Receipts on Economic Growth in Turkey : Structural Break and Causality Analysis.” Doğuş University Journal, 7 (2):162-171. http://journal.dogus.edu.tr/index.php/duj/article/view/106/122
  • Çoban, Orhan and Özcan, Ceyhun Can. 2013. “The Relationship Between Economic Growth and Tourism Income of Turkey: A Casuality Analysis (1963-2010).” Eskişehir Osmangazi University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 8(1), 243-261. https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/65437 https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/1836/e12bd939dde6084ae23b442cdac1aa5a514b.pdf?_ga=2.92444829.1433615277.1562238302-1461578574.1560338993
  • Kanca, Osman Cenk. 2015. “Tourism Revenues and Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey (1980-2013).” The Journal of Marmara Social Research, 8:1-14. http://www.marmarasosyaldergi.org/makale/sayi8_aral%C4%B1k_2015_1.pdf
  • Kızılgöl, Özlem and Erbaykal, Erman. 2008. “The Relationship between Tourism Revenues and Economic Growth in Turkey: A Causality Analysis.” Suleyman Demirel University The Journal of Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 13(2):351-360. https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/194749
  • Kızılkaya, Oktay, Sofuoğlu, Emrah and Karaçor, Zeynep. 2016. “The Relationship Between Tourism Revenues and Economic Growth in Turkey: ARDL Bound Test Approach.” Journal of Management and Economics, 23(1):203-215. https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/228117
  • Kızılkaya, Oktay. 2018. “Investigating the Relationship between Tourism Receipts and Growth by Bootstrap Causality Test for Turkey.” Dicle University Social Sciences Institute Journal, 10(21):218-227. http://www.e-dusbed.com/InstitutionArchiveFiles/c305be46-4d62-e711-80f0-00224d68272d/4ce9b3d4-4f62-e711-80f0-00224d68272d/Cilt10Sayi21/f9c0abaf-8d89-4e36-9ac5-3eace2426e1d_20180708001.pdf
  • Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh. 2014. “Exploring the role of technology, tourism and financial development: an empirical study of Vietnam.” Quality & Quantity, 48 (5):2881-2898https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257366586_Exploring_the_role_of_technology_tourism_and_financial_development_An_empirical_study_of_Vietnam
  • Narayan, Paresh K. 2005. ”The Saving and Investment Nexus for China: Evidence from Cointegration Tests.” Applied Economics, 37(17):1979-1990.
  • Özdemir, Ali Rıza and Öksüzler, Oktay. 2006. “Can Tourism be an Economic Growth Policy Tool in Turkey? A Granger Causalıiy Analysis.” Balıkesir University Journal of Social Sciences Institute, 9(16): 107-126. http://sbe.balikesir.edu.tr/dergi/edergi/c9s16/makale/c9s16m6.pdf
  • Paksoy Sadettin, Yenipazarlı, Aslı and Bulut Ela. 2018. “Effects On Tourism In Employment; VAR Analysis.” Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities Researches, 19(41), 35-50. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/491631
  • Pesaran, M.Hashem, Shin, Yongcheol, and Smith, Richard J. 2001. “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships.” Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3): 289- 326.
  • Samırkaş, Meryem and Samırkaş, Mustafa Can. 2014. “The Effect of Tourism Industry on Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey.” Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İşletme Fakültesi Dergisi, 15(1):63-76. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ifede/issue/25414/268176
  • Sarı, Didar, and Uçar, Zefure. 2010. “The Tourism Sector at Creating Employment and the Effects of 2008 Global Crisis on Turkey's Tourism Employment.” In International Conference On Eurasian Economies, Beykent Universty, İstanbul 4-5 Kasım, 38-343 https://www.avekon.org/papers/216.pdf
  • Topallı, Nurgün. 2015. “The Effect of Tourism Sector on the Economic Growth of Turkey: 1963-2011.” International Journal of Economics and Administrative Studies, 14:339-352. http://dergipark.ulakbim.gov.tr/ulikidince/article/view/5000113813/5000105884
  • Tutar, Filiz, Alpaslan, Cemile, Tutar, Erdinç, and Erkan, Çisil. 2013. “The Influence of Tourism Sector on Employment.” Global Journal of Economics and Business Studies, 2(4), 14-27. http://dergipark.ulakbim.gov.tr/gumusgjebs/article/view/5000006214/5000006704
  • Ünlüönen, Kurban. and Şahin, S. Zeki. 2011. “Employment in Tourism Sector, Electronic Journal of Social Sciences, 10(37):1-25 https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/70287
  • Yamak, Nebiye, Tanrıöver, Banu and Güneysu, Filiz. 2012. “Tourism-Economic Growth Relations: A Investigating on Basis of Sector.” Atatürk University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 26(2):205-220. https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/30392
  • Yenisu, Ersin. 2018. “Tourism Revenue and Economic Growth Relationship in Turkey:VAR Analysis.” Ünye İİBF Dergisi, 2(1):16-37.

Türkiye’de Turizm Gelirlerinin İşgücü Verimliliği Üzerine Etkisi: ARDL Yaklaşımı

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 15 , 263 - 271, 31.03.2020

Öz

Abstract: The
short-run and long-run effects of tourism revenues on output per worker is
examined for the Turkish economy during 1988-2018. The first step is to test
the order of integration of the variables. The results of Augmented
Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test indicated that the series of trade openness has not a
unit root on the level I (0) the other series has not a unit root first
differences level I (1). Therefore, this study investigates the effects of
tourism revenues on output per worker by using ARDL bounds testing approach
developed by Pesaran et al. (2001).  The
F-statistic estimated for the models were found to be greater than the critical
values of Narayan (2005) at the significance level of 5%, thus the presence of
cointegration between the variables was confirmed. After the cointegration
relationship between the variables was determined, the long-run coefficients
were estimated by using ARDL model. The results obtained from ARDL (3,2,1,2,1)
estimations indicate that tourism revenues have a positive and statistically
significant effect on output per worker in the short-run. The significance of
this empirical results is that tourism sector can be considered as an effective
economic policy instrument increasing out per worker. Overall the paper
suggests that developments of tourism sector increases output per worker for
Turkish economy.

Öz: Turizm gelirlerinin işçi başına çıktı üzerindeki
kısa ve uzun dönemli etkileri Türkiye ekonomisi için 1988-2018 döneminde
araştırılmıştır. İlk adım değişkenlerin bütünleşme derecesini test etmektir.
Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) testi sonuçları ticari açıklık değişkenin
seviyesinde I(0) durağan diğer değişkenlerin ise farkında I(1) durağan
olduklarını göstermektedir. Dolayısıyla bu çalışma Pesaran ve diğerleri (2001)
tarafından geliştirilen ARDL sınır testi ile turizm gelirlerinin işçi başına
çıktı üzerindeki etkisini araştırmaktadır. Modelin tahmininden elde edilen F
istatistiği Narayan (2005) %5 anlamlılık seviyesi kritik değerinden büyük
olarak bulunduğundan değişkenler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin var olduğu
bulgusuna ulaşılmıştır. Değişkenler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi
belirlendikten sonra ARDL modeli kullanılarak uzun dönem katsayıları tahmin
edilmiştir. ARDL (3,2,1,2,1) modelinin tahminlerinden elde edilen bulgular
turizm gelirlerinin işçi başına çıktıyı istatistiksel olarak anlamlı ve pozitif
yönde kısa dönemde etkilediğini göstermektedir. Bu ampirik sonuçların önemi işçi
başına çıktının artırılmasında etkin ekonomik politika aracı olarak turizm
sektörünün düşünülebilmesidir. Sonuçta çalışma turizm sektöründeki gelişmelerin
Türkiye için işçi başına çıktıyı artırmasını önermektedir.

 

Kaynakça

  • Aslan, Alper. 2008. “An Econometric Analysis on Economic Growth and Tourism in Turkey.” Erciyes Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi (Erciyes University Journal), 24(1):1–11. http://www.acarindex.com/dosyalar/makale/acarindex-1423879707.pdf
  • Bahar, Ozan. 2006. “The Effect of Tourism Sector on the Economic Growth of Turkey: VAR Analysis Approach.” Journal of Management and Economics, 13(2):137-150. http://www.acarindex.com/dosyalar/makale/acarindex-1423939089.pdf
  • Balıkçıoğlu, Eda and Oktay, Kutay. 2015. “An Assessment of the Relationship between Tourism Revenues and Economic Growth in Turkey in accordance with the Public Policy.” Sosyoekonomi, 23 (25):113-125. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282054679_Turkiye'de_Turizm_Gelirleri_ve_Ekonomik_Buyume_Iliskisinin_Kamu_Politikalari_Dogrultusunda_Degerlendirilmesi
  • Çetintaş, Hakan and Bektaş, Çetin. 2008. “The Long and Short Term Relationships between Tourism and Economic Growth in Turkey.” Anatolia: Turizm Araştırmaları Dergisi, 19(1):37-44. https://anatoliajournal.com/atad/depo/dergiler/Cilt19_Sayi1_Yil2008_1304876834.pdf
  • Çil Yavuz, Nilgün. 2006. “Test for the Effect of Tourism Receipts on Economic Growth in Turkey : Structural Break and Causality Analysis.” Doğuş University Journal, 7 (2):162-171. http://journal.dogus.edu.tr/index.php/duj/article/view/106/122
  • Çoban, Orhan and Özcan, Ceyhun Can. 2013. “The Relationship Between Economic Growth and Tourism Income of Turkey: A Casuality Analysis (1963-2010).” Eskişehir Osmangazi University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 8(1), 243-261. https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/65437 https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/1836/e12bd939dde6084ae23b442cdac1aa5a514b.pdf?_ga=2.92444829.1433615277.1562238302-1461578574.1560338993
  • Kanca, Osman Cenk. 2015. “Tourism Revenues and Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey (1980-2013).” The Journal of Marmara Social Research, 8:1-14. http://www.marmarasosyaldergi.org/makale/sayi8_aral%C4%B1k_2015_1.pdf
  • Kızılgöl, Özlem and Erbaykal, Erman. 2008. “The Relationship between Tourism Revenues and Economic Growth in Turkey: A Causality Analysis.” Suleyman Demirel University The Journal of Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 13(2):351-360. https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/194749
  • Kızılkaya, Oktay, Sofuoğlu, Emrah and Karaçor, Zeynep. 2016. “The Relationship Between Tourism Revenues and Economic Growth in Turkey: ARDL Bound Test Approach.” Journal of Management and Economics, 23(1):203-215. https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/228117
  • Kızılkaya, Oktay. 2018. “Investigating the Relationship between Tourism Receipts and Growth by Bootstrap Causality Test for Turkey.” Dicle University Social Sciences Institute Journal, 10(21):218-227. http://www.e-dusbed.com/InstitutionArchiveFiles/c305be46-4d62-e711-80f0-00224d68272d/4ce9b3d4-4f62-e711-80f0-00224d68272d/Cilt10Sayi21/f9c0abaf-8d89-4e36-9ac5-3eace2426e1d_20180708001.pdf
  • Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh. 2014. “Exploring the role of technology, tourism and financial development: an empirical study of Vietnam.” Quality & Quantity, 48 (5):2881-2898https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257366586_Exploring_the_role_of_technology_tourism_and_financial_development_An_empirical_study_of_Vietnam
  • Narayan, Paresh K. 2005. ”The Saving and Investment Nexus for China: Evidence from Cointegration Tests.” Applied Economics, 37(17):1979-1990.
  • Özdemir, Ali Rıza and Öksüzler, Oktay. 2006. “Can Tourism be an Economic Growth Policy Tool in Turkey? A Granger Causalıiy Analysis.” Balıkesir University Journal of Social Sciences Institute, 9(16): 107-126. http://sbe.balikesir.edu.tr/dergi/edergi/c9s16/makale/c9s16m6.pdf
  • Paksoy Sadettin, Yenipazarlı, Aslı and Bulut Ela. 2018. “Effects On Tourism In Employment; VAR Analysis.” Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities Researches, 19(41), 35-50. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/491631
  • Pesaran, M.Hashem, Shin, Yongcheol, and Smith, Richard J. 2001. “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships.” Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3): 289- 326.
  • Samırkaş, Meryem and Samırkaş, Mustafa Can. 2014. “The Effect of Tourism Industry on Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey.” Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İşletme Fakültesi Dergisi, 15(1):63-76. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ifede/issue/25414/268176
  • Sarı, Didar, and Uçar, Zefure. 2010. “The Tourism Sector at Creating Employment and the Effects of 2008 Global Crisis on Turkey's Tourism Employment.” In International Conference On Eurasian Economies, Beykent Universty, İstanbul 4-5 Kasım, 38-343 https://www.avekon.org/papers/216.pdf
  • Topallı, Nurgün. 2015. “The Effect of Tourism Sector on the Economic Growth of Turkey: 1963-2011.” International Journal of Economics and Administrative Studies, 14:339-352. http://dergipark.ulakbim.gov.tr/ulikidince/article/view/5000113813/5000105884
  • Tutar, Filiz, Alpaslan, Cemile, Tutar, Erdinç, and Erkan, Çisil. 2013. “The Influence of Tourism Sector on Employment.” Global Journal of Economics and Business Studies, 2(4), 14-27. http://dergipark.ulakbim.gov.tr/gumusgjebs/article/view/5000006214/5000006704
  • Ünlüönen, Kurban. and Şahin, S. Zeki. 2011. “Employment in Tourism Sector, Electronic Journal of Social Sciences, 10(37):1-25 https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/70287
  • Yamak, Nebiye, Tanrıöver, Banu and Güneysu, Filiz. 2012. “Tourism-Economic Growth Relations: A Investigating on Basis of Sector.” Atatürk University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 26(2):205-220. https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/30392
  • Yenisu, Ersin. 2018. “Tourism Revenue and Economic Growth Relationship in Turkey:VAR Analysis.” Ünye İİBF Dergisi, 2(1):16-37.
Toplam 22 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Dilek Tandoğan

Murat Can Genç

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mart 2020
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2020 Cilt: 15

Kaynak Göster

APA Tandoğan, D., & Genç, M. C. (2020). The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, 15, 263-271.
AMA Tandoğan D, Genç MC. The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. Mart 2020;15:263-271.
Chicago Tandoğan, Dilek, ve Murat Can Genç. “The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 15, Mart (Mart 2020): 263-71.
EndNote Tandoğan D, Genç MC (01 Mart 2020) The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 15 263–271.
IEEE D. Tandoğan ve M. C. Genç, “The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach”, Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, c. 15, ss. 263–271, 2020.
ISNAD Tandoğan, Dilek - Genç, Murat Can. “The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 15 (Mart 2020), 263-271.
JAMA Tandoğan D, Genç MC. The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. 2020;15:263–271.
MLA Tandoğan, Dilek ve Murat Can Genç. “The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, c. 15, 2020, ss. 263-71.
Vancouver Tandoğan D, Genç MC. The Impact of Tourism Revenues in Turkey on Productivity Per Worker: ARDL Approach. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. 2020;15:263-71.